The Evolution of GPTs: Current State and Future Predictions

This post outlines the current state of GPTs and provides predictions for the next 6, 12, and 24 months concerning their evolution in six key dimensions. The analysis offers valuable insights into the advancements and potential challenges we can expect in the near future. 

The Evolution of GPTs: Current State and Future Predictions

As the artificial intelligence (AI) landscape undergoes rapid transformation, understanding the six key dimensions of the current GPT evolution is crucial for businesses, policymakers, and society¹. 

These dimensions - input and output data, alignment with norms and values, hallucinations or mistakes, reasoning ability, and connection/interface to the world - serve as vital indicators of the advancements, challenges, and opportunities presented by AI technologies, particularly the Generative Pre-trained Transformers (GPTs).

Unlocking the Potential of AI Input Data

Today: GPTs can process a wide range of structured and unstructured data types, such as text and images².

• 6 months: We anticipate improvements in handling multi-modal data, resulting in a more seamless integration of different data types.
• 12 months: GPTs are expected to learn from data in real-time, allowing them to adapt to continuously changing inputs.
• 24 months: GPTs will likely be able to handle vast amounts of data from various sources, enabling them to develop more accurate and nuanced models.

Revolutionizing AI Output Data: The Next Frontier

Today: GPTs can generate human-like text, perform translations, and answer questions based on context.

• 6 months: Enhanced creativity and improved natural language generation are expected, enabling GPTs to produce more complex and engaging outputs.
• 12 months: GPTs will likely deliver better context awareness, resulting in outputs tailored to specific industries and use cases.
• 24 months: Expect GPTs to generate high-quality content in multiple formats, including video, audio, and interactive experiences.

AI Ethics: Aligning GPTs with Societal Norms and Values

Today: GPTs sometimes produce content misaligned with societal norms and values³.

• 6 months: Improved filtering mechanisms will likely reduce the occurrence of inappropriate content.
• 12 months: GPTs will increasingly align with societal norms through a better understanding and application of ethical guidelines.
• 24 months: Anticipate the development of AI systems capable of actively learning and adapting to the values of their users and stakeholders.

Tackling AI Hallucinations and Improving Accuracy

Today: GPTs occasionally generate inaccurate or unrealistic outputs (hallucinations)⁴.

• 6 months: Enhanced training data and algorithms will reduce the frequency of hallucinations.
• 12 months: Expect significant improvements in GPTs' ability to fact-check and self-correct.
• 24 months: GPTs will likely generate outputs with a high degree of accuracy and reliability.

The AI Reasoning Revolution: Solving Complex Problems

Today: GPTs possess limited reasoning and problem-solving abilities.

• 6 months: Improvements in understanding context and causal relationships will enhance GPTs' reasoning capabilities.
• 12 months: GPTs will likely develop more advanced reasoning abilities, including the capacity to solve complex, multi-step problems.
• 24 months: Expect GPTs to approach human-like reasoning, enabling them to generate creative solutions to various challenges.

Connecting AI to the World: Seamless Interactions and Interfaces

Today: GPTs primarily interact with users through text-based interfaces.

• 6 months: Voice and gesture-based interactions will become increasingly prevalent, making GPTs more accessible and user-friendly.
• 12 months: GPTs will likely be integrated with various IoT devices, enabling them to interact with users' environments in real-time.
• 24 months: Expect GPTs to be embedded in various platforms and technologies, facilitating seamless interactions with users across multiple touchpoints.

Embrace the AI-powered Future: Transforming Companies and Society

The evolution of GPTs promises significant advancements in the near future, improving their capabilities in data input and output, alignment with societal norms, reduction of hallucinations, reasoning abilities, and connection to the world. By understanding these trends, businesses and stakeholders can capitalize on the emerging opportunities and prepare for the challenges associated with this rapid technological progress.

As GPTs continue to evolve, organizations must stay abreast of these developments to remain competitive and harness the full potential of AI-powered solutions. This will involve proactive investments in research, training, and infrastructure, as well as collaboration with other stakeholders to establish industry standards and ethical guidelines.

By embracing the transformative power of GPTs and navigating the complexities of their evolution, businesses can unlock new opportunities for growth, innovation, and value creation. Ultimately, the successful integration and adoption of GPTs will not only drive organizational success but also contribute to a more connected, intelligent, and responsive global ecosystem.

¹ https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/generative-ai-is-here-how-tools-like-chatgpt-could-change-your-business

² https://openai.com/product/gpt-4

³ https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1074787/full

⁴ https://spectrum.ieee.org/ai-hallucination